Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 166.023477 181.876493 198.076563 215.840396 234.742024 254.224628 275.794722
2024-12-29 142.623515 166.605116 192.226454 221.512395 253.934612 288.607288 328.364593
2025-01-05 123.483416 153.251141 186.393285 225.718323 270.791409 320.529940 379.250073
2025-01-12 105.248160 138.576428 177.182550 224.618966 280.734388 344.412545 421.525295
2025-01-19 90.603279 126.272719 169.169608 223.603031 289.854460 366.910568 462.301853
2025-01-26 82.591670 121.024121 168.774656 231.045875 308.651633 400.749390 516.799590
2025-02-02 75.296185 115.774072 167.642425 237.020449 325.367469 432.123425 568.771865
2025-02-09 69.381604 111.626216 167.334130 243.590221 342.591868 464.149670 621.894862
2025-02-16 64.010874 107.606595 166.695993 249.356314 358.610044 494.729388 673.577965
2025-02-23 54.952779 97.419361 156.895912 242.240899 357.394569 503.270142 697.637538
2025-03-02 48.209060 89.906159 150.132281 238.601832 360.225463 516.607164 727.570855
2025-03-09 43.778348 85.446801 147.298362 240.028377 369.572468 538.255058 768.196415
2025-03-16 40.040574 81.819472 145.542859 243.004291 381.284445 563.527865 814.419631
2025-03-23 37.915964 80.626321 147.306713 251.024124 400.096447 598.533619 873.943132
2025-03-30 35.408862 78.532477 147.517730 256.698701 415.705084 629.510103 928.672630
2025-04-06 31.755627 74.050283 143.673864 256.099394 422.315404 648.380926 967.606767
2025-04-13 28.456801 69.825559 139.905759 255.327960 428.491956 666.611710 1005.815099
2025-04-20 27.231656 69.334081 142.136985 263.728483 448.023640 703.388816 1069.358185
2025-04-27 25.790947 68.266356 143.299711 270.425791 465.127098 736.999448 1128.997461
2025-05-04 24.572702 67.498221 144.871408 277.726712 483.172366 772.087767 1190.978361
2025-05-11 23.292996 66.464085 145.889536 284.111183 499.914257 805.529893 1251.062754
2025-05-18 19.986183 60.759157 138.336672 276.302854 495.034650 808.262302 1268.847311
2025-05-25 17.571539 56.647849 133.306753 272.308120 495.683138 818.687230 1297.220928